Autoregressive Method in Short Term Load Forecast

Short-term load forecasting plays an important role in planning and operation of power system. The accuracy of this forecasted value is necessary for economically efficient operation and also for effective control. This paper describes the methods of autoregressive (AR) Burg’s and modified covariance (MCOV) in solving a short term load forecast. The methods are tested based on historical load data of New South Wales, Australia. The accuracy of discussed methods are obtained and reported.